NFL football wagering on -3 Lines

NFL football wagering challenges gamblers to evaluate a game while taking into consideration the established NFL wagering odds for that match up.  The most common NFL football wagering line that you will see is the -3 line, simply because so many games are decided by a field goal.  For this reason, you should understand that any movement of an NFL football wagering line around -3 can have very major implications.

NFL football wagering match ups are won or lost by three points more frequently than any other number of points.  On any given Sunday NFL wagering fans are bound to witness several NFL football wagering match ups decided by a mere field goal, possibly kicked in the waning minutes of the game.  Consequently, it should come as no surprise that lines makers frequently set NFL football wagering lines at -3.  In such an NFL wagering contest, the favorite will obviously only push if it wins by a field goal, so those gamblers supporting the underdog know their bet will not lose as long as the game is decided by a field goal, regardless of who wins.

Because so many NFL football wagering match ups are decided by three points, the half point differences in NFL football wagering odds above and below three are quite significant.  For instance, the difference between a -2½ NFL football wagering line and a -3 NFL football wagering line is huge.  At -2½ the favored team will cover if it wins by a field goal, while it will only push at -3.  This difference is far greater than the difference between -5 and -4½, for instance.  Similarly, the difference between an NFL football wagering line of -3½ and -3 is also very great.

Unlike at -3, at -3½ the favored team will actually lose if it only wins by a field goal. In other words, if such an NFL wagering match up is decided by a field goal then the underdog will inevitably cover. Because the differences in these small changes in the NFL football wagering line can have such drastic implications, most lines movers are hesitant to move an NFL football wagering line in any direction around the three. However, if the line is moved then you can be confident that a significant quantity of value has either been added or subtracted from the NFL football wagering line, depending on the side you are taking.

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